Where the market is wrong on Strathspey Thistle v Brora Rangers
Strathspey Thistle meet Brora Rangers in the Football League - Highland League highland league - 6.
The baseline ratings are close, 1454 to 1522, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Brora Rangers, 53% against 40%. Attacking output favors Brora Rangers on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 63%, over 2.5 goals around 73%. Draw no bet leans Brora Rangers at 64%; double chance reads Strathspey Thistle or draw 53%, Brora Rangers or draw 74%.
Strathspey Thistle arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 5 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Turriff United, L 1-2 v Brora Rangers, L 1-3 v Inverurie Loco Works, D 1-1 @ Banks O' Dee.
Brora Rangers are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 16 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Inverurie Loco Works, W 2-1 @ Strathspey Thistle, W 4-2 v Banks O' Dee, D 2-2 @ Buckie Thistle.
The market prices STR at 13% implied. Our number sits apart on Strathspey Thistle: a 13.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
