Somalia v Ghana

Somalia meet Ghana in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification group stage - 4.

The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Ghana, 45% against 25%. Attacking output favors Ghana on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.4 per match.

Somalia arrive in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 3 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Mauritius, D 0-0 v Mauritius, D 0-0 @ Oman, W 1-0 @ Bahrain.

Ghana are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 3 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Colombia, L 1-2 @ Croatia, D 0-0 @ England, W 1-0 v Panama.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.