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Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · Group Stage - 3 · World

South Africa v Kenya

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比赛分析赛前简报

South Africa v Kenya: the model read

South Africa meet Kenya in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification group stage - 3.

The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1573, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 55% against 60%. Attacking output favors Kenya on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.3 per match.

South Africa arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 3 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Canada, W 1-0 v South Korea, D 1-1 @ Czechia, L 0-2 @ Mexico.

Kenya are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 9 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 v Lesotho, D 1-1 @ Lesotho, W 3-0 @ Grenada, D 1-1 v Estonia.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.

Written from the MeisterIQ model output

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South Africa

DLDWL7-8-5

进球 1.25 · 失球 0.95 · 零封 35% · 两队均得分 50%

  • L主场Canada0-1
  • W主场South Korea1-0
  • D客场Czechia1-1
  • L客场Mexico0-2
  • D客场Jamaica1-1

Kenya

LDWDW7-4-4

进球 1.40 · 失球 1.27 · 零封 46.7% · 两队均得分 33.3%

  • W主场Lesotho4-0
  • D客场Lesotho1-1
  • W客场Grenada3-0
  • D主场Estonia1-1
  • L客场Senegal0-8

教练

H. Broos

Belgium · 73

自 2026 年起执教 · 8 支执教球队

  • South Africa2022–2025
  • South Africa2021–2022
  • South Africa2021–2021
  • KV Oostende2019–2019

B. McCarthy

South Africa · 48

自 2025 年起执教 · 3 支执教球队

  • Kenya2023–2026
  • AmaZulu2020–2022
  • Cape Town City2017–2019

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