Botswana v Tunisia: the model read
Botswana meet Tunisia in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification group stage - 2.
The baseline ratings are close, 1420 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 39% against 45%. Attacking output favors Tunisia on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.8 per match.
Botswana arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 1 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Malawi, L 0-3 v Zimbabwe, L 0-3 v Congo DR, L 0-1 @ Benin.
Tunisia are out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 2 scored and 18 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Netherlands, L 0-4 v Japan, L 1-5 @ Sweden, L 0-5 @ Belgium.
Tunisia hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2023: Tunisia 3-0 Botswana.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
