Algeria Algeria v Zambia: the model read
Algeria meet Zambia in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification group stage - 1. The model makes Algeria the most likely outcome at 66%, with the full read 66% ALG, 21% draw, 12% ZAM.
Algeria rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1684 to 1400. Recent form leans Algeria, 75% against 15%. Attacking output favors Algeria on expected goals, 2.0 to 0.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 24%, over 2.5 goals around 77%. Draw no bet leans Algeria at 84%; double chance reads Algeria or draw 88%, Zambia or draw 34%.
Algeria arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 9 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Switzerland, D 3-3 v Austria, W 2-1 @ Jordan, L 0-3 @ Argentina.
Zambia are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 1 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-5 @ Argentina, L 0-3 v Morocco, D 0-0 v Comoros, D 1-1 @ Mali.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 60 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
