Vancouver FC v CF Montreal: the model read
Vancouver FC meet CF Montreal in the Canadian Championship quarter-finals at Willoughby Community Park Stadium, undefined. The model makes Vancouver FC the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 36% VAN, 29% draw, 35% CF .
The baseline ratings are close, 1468 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 42% against 43%. Attacking output favors CF Montreal on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 65%, over 2.5 goals around 63%. Draw no bet leans Vancouver FC at 51%; double chance reads Vancouver FC or draw 65%, CF Montreal or draw 64%.
Vancouver FC arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 12 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Cavalry FC, W 5-1 @ Supra du Quebec, L 1-2 @ CF Montreal, L 1-2 v CF Montreal.
CF Montreal are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Inter Miami, L 0-1 @ Nashville SC, D 0-0 v Toronto FC, W 2-1 v Vancouver FC.
CF Montreal hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: CF Montreal 2-1 Vancouver FC.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
