Jaraíz v Badajoz: the model read
Jaraíz meet Badajoz in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 semi-finals. The model makes Badajoz the most likely outcome at 46%, with the full read 24% JAR, 30% draw, 46% BAD.
Badajoz rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1730 to 1546. Recent form leans Badajoz, 80% against 57%. Attacking output favors Badajoz on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 40%, over 2.5 goals around 47%. Draw no bet leans Badajoz at 66%; double chance reads Jaraíz or draw 54%, Badajoz or draw 76%.
Jaraíz arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 5 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Badajoz, W 1-0 v Badajoz, W 1-0 @ Villanovense, W 2-1 v Cabeza Buey.
Badajoz are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 7 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Cuarte, W 2-1 v Cuarte, D 0-0 v Moralo, W 2-0 @ Moralo.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
