Vitoria v ABC: the model read
Vitoria meet ABC in the Copa do Nordeste semi-finals at Barradao, Salvador. The model makes ABC the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 30% VIT, 29% draw, 41% ABC.
The baseline ratings are close, 1615 to 1684, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans ABC, 75% against 65%. Attacking output favors ABC on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 64%, over 2.5 goals around 66%. Draw no bet leans ABC at 58%; double chance reads Vitoria or draw 59%, ABC or draw 70%.
Vitoria arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 5 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Remo, D 0-0 @ Botafogo, W 1-0 v Vasco DA Gama, W 2-1 v Fortaleza EC.
ABC are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 9 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 4-1 v Luverdense, D 0-0 @ Luverdense, W 3-0 v Águia de Marabá, L 1-2 @ Águia de Marabá.
Vitoria hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 0 with 5 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: ABC 3-4 Vitoria.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
