Ragusa v Messina: the model read
Ragusa meet Messina in the Serie D - Girone I relegation round. The model makes the draw the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 34% RAG, 37% draw, 29% MES.
The baseline ratings are close, 1443 to 1454, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 43% against 45%. Attacking output favors Ragusa on expected goals, 0.8 to 0.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 18%, over 2.5 goals around 11%. Draw no bet leans Ragusa at 54%; double chance reads Ragusa or draw 71%, Messina or draw 66%.
Ragusa arrive patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 1 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Messina, L 1-2 v AC Palermo, D 0-0 @ Acireale, D 0-0 v Sancataldese.
Messina are in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 4 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Ragusa, W 1-0 v Milazzo, D 1-1 @ Igea Virtus, D 1-1 @ Vigor Lamezia.
Messina hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Ragusa 0-0 Messina.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
