Columbus Crew v New York City FC: the model read
Columbus Crew meet New York City FC in the US Open Cup quarter-finals at ScottsMiracle-Gro Field, undefined. The model makes New York City FC the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 34% COL, 29% draw, 37% NEW.
The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 55%. Attacking output favors New York City FC on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 66%, over 2.5 goals around 65%. Draw no bet leans New York City FC at 52%; double chance reads Columbus Crew or draw 63%, New York City FC or draw 66%.
Columbus Crew arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 7 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v FC Cincinnati, L 1-2 v New York City FC, D 1-1 v Burnley, W 2-0 v Atlanta United FC.
New York City FC are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 7 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Chicago Fire, W 2-1 @ Columbus Crew, L 1-2 @ Nashville SC, L 0-1 @ Columbus Crew.
The recent head-to-head is even, 3 apiece with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Columbus Crew 1-2 New York City FC.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
