TP-47 v Vaajakoski

TP-47 meet Vaajakoski in the Kakkonen - Lohko C group c - 18 at Pohjan Stadium, Tornio.

The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1431, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 38%. Attacking output favors Vaajakoski on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.6 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 86%, over 2.5 goals around 89%. Draw no bet leans TP-47 at 51%; double chance reads TP-47 or draw 64%, Vaajakoski or draw 63%.

TP-47 arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 6 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: W 4-2 v Vaajakoski, L 0-4 @ JBK, W 2-1 v Kraft, L 0-4 @ Huima / Urho.

Vaajakoski are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 9 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 2-4 @ TP-47, D 1-1 v GBK, W 3-2 v VPS II, L 0-4 @ JBK.

Vaajakoski hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: TP-47 4-2 Vaajakoski.

The market prices TP- at 43% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.