Kiffen v HPS

Kiffen meet HPS in the Kakkonen - Lohko A group a - 18 at Toolon Pallokentta, Helsinki.

Kiffen rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1684 to 1512. Recent form leans Kiffen, 75% against 50%. Attacking output favors Kiffen on expected goals, 2.5 to 2.1 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 84%, over 2.5 goals around 94%. Draw no bet leans Kiffen at 64%; double chance reads Kiffen or draw 73%, HPS or draw 52%.

Kiffen arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 10 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 5-1 v HPS, W 3-1 @ PuiU Helsinki, W 1-0 v Union Plaani, D 0-0 @ MyPa.

HPS are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 11 scored and 20 conceded. Recent results: L 1-5 @ Kiffen, L 0-3 v Union Plaani, D 2-2 @ PPJ, D 5-5 v HIFK Helsinki.

Kiffen hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Kiffen 5-1 HPS.

The market prices KIF at 64% implied. Our number sits apart on HPS: a 9.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.