Where the market is wrong on Tver v Dinamo Vologda
Tver meet Dinamo Vologda in the Second League - Group 2 group 2 - 23.
The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1407, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 43% against 37%. Attacking output favors Tver on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.2 per match.
Tver arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Dinamo Vologda, D 1-1 @ Baltika II, D 1-1 v Yenisey II, L 0-4 @ Chertanovo Moscow.
Dinamo Vologda are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 6 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Tver, L 2-3 v Iskra Smolensk, L 1-2 @ Murom, D 1-1 @ Dinamo St. Petersburg.
The market prices TVE at 37% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
