Penarol v Racing Montevideo: the model read
Penarol meet Racing Montevideo in the Primera División - Apertura apertura - 9 at Estadio Campeón del Siglo, Montevideo. The model makes Racing Montevideo the most likely outcome at 38%, with the full read 28% PEN, 34% draw, 38% RAC.
Racing Montevideo rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1627 to 1500. Recent form leans Racing Montevideo, 70% against 50%. Attacking output favors Penarol on expected goals, 1.2 to 1.2 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 27%, over 2.5 goals around 21%. Draw no bet leans Racing Montevideo at 58%; double chance reads Penarol or draw 62%, Racing Montevideo or draw 72%.
Penarol arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 5 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Boston River, D 1-1 @ Racing Montevideo, W 1-0 @ Cerro, L 0-1 v Central Espanol.
Racing Montevideo are steady: 1W-4D-0L from their last five (7/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 3 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Penarol, D 1-1 @ Central Espanol, D 0-0 v Defensor Sporting, D 0-0 @ Liverpool Montevideo.
Penarol hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Racing Montevideo 1-1 Penarol.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
