Netherlands v Greece: the model read
Netherlands meet Greece in the UEFA Nations League 5.
The baseline ratings are close, 1661 to 1569, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Netherlands, 75% against 57%. Attacking output favors Netherlands on expected goals, 2.6 to 1.7 per match.
Netherlands arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 13 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Morocco, W 3-1 @ Tunisia, W 5-1 v Sweden, D 2-2 v Japan.
Greece are patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 2 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Italy, D 2-2 @ Sweden, D 0-0 @ Hungary, L 0-1 v Paraguay.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
