Croatia v Spain

Croatia meet Spain in the UEFA Nations League 4.

Spain rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1758 to 1627. Recent form leans Spain, 87% against 65%. Attacking output favors Spain on expected goals, 2.3 to 2.0 per match.

Croatia arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 8 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Portugal, W 2-1 v Ghana, W 1-0 @ Panama, L 2-4 @ England.

Spain are surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 9 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Argentina, W 2-0 @ France, W 2-1 v Belgium, W 1-0 @ Portugal.

Spain hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2024: Spain 3-0 Croatia.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.