FC Astana v Yelimay Semey

FC Astana meet Yelimay Semey in the Premier League regular season - 25 at Astana Arena, Astana.

FC Astana rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1638 to 1443. Recent form leans FC Astana, 68% against 43%. Attacking output favors FC Astana on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.2 per match.

FC Astana arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 12 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 v Yelimay Semey, W 3-2 @ Atyrau, D 1-1 @ Kyzyl-Zhar, W 2-1 v Okzhetpes.

Yelimay Semey are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ FC Astana, L 0-2 v Kairat Almaty, D 2-2 @ Kaspiy, W 3-1 v Irtysh.

FC Astana hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: FC Astana 4-0 Yelimay Semey.

The market prices FC at 58% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 6.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.