Where the market is wrong on Dep. Santo Domingo v 9 de Octubre
Dep. Santo Domingo meet 9 de Octubre in the Liga Pro Serie B regular season - 19 at Estadio Folke Anderson, Esmeraldas. The model makes 9 de Octubre the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 24% DEP, 37% draw, 40% 9 D.
9 de Octubre rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1627 to 1443. Recent form leans 9 de Octubre, 70% against 43%. Attacking output favors 9 de Octubre on expected goals, 1.2 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 15%, over 2.5 goals around 12%. Draw no bet leans 9 de Octubre at 62%; double chance reads Dep. Santo Domingo or draw 60%, 9 de Octubre or draw 76%.
Dep. Santo Domingo arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 2 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ LDU Portoviejo, L 0-1 v Deportivo Cuenca Juniors, D 1-1 @ San Antonio, W 1-0 v Ind. Juniors.
9 de Octubre are in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts), 4 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v 22 de Julio, D 0-0 @ Cumbayá, D 0-0 v Gualaceo SC, D 1-1 @ LDU Portoviejo.
9 de Octubre hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: 9 de Octubre 1-0 Santo Domingo.
The market prices DEP at 32% implied. Our number sits apart on 9 de Octubre: a 6.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 68 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
