ML Vitebsk v Bate Borisov

ML Vitebsk meet Bate Borisov in the Premier League regular season - 19 at Vitebsk CSK, Vitebsk.

ML Vitebsk rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1636 to 1407. Recent form leans ML Vitebsk, 68% against 42%. Attacking output favors ML Vitebsk on expected goals, 1.9 to 0.8 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 41%, over 2.5 goals around 50%. Draw no bet leans ML Vitebsk at 67%; double chance reads ML Vitebsk or draw 77%, Bate Borisov or draw 53%.

ML Vitebsk arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 5 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Bate Borisov, W 2-0 v Baranovichi, W 1-0 v Borac Banja Luka, L 0-1 @ Borac Banja Luka.

Bate Borisov are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 4 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ ML Vitebsk, W 1-0 v FC Vitebsk, D 2-2 @ Baranovichi, L 0-4 @ FC Sion.

ML Vitebsk hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: ML Vitebsk 0-0 Bate Borisov.

The market prices ML at 70% implied. Our number sits apart on Bate Borisov: a 12.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.