Ludogorets v CSKA Sofia: the model read
Ludogorets meet CSKA Sofia in the Cup semi-finals at Huvepharma Arena, Razgrad. The model makes Ludogorets the most likely outcome at 35%, with the full read 35% LUD, 33% draw, 32% CSK.
The baseline ratings are close, 1541 to 1598, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans CSKA Sofia, 64% against 55%. Attacking output favors CSKA Sofia on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.2 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 36%, over 2.5 goals around 28%. Draw no bet leans Ludogorets at 52%; double chance reads Ludogorets or draw 68%, CSKA Sofia or draw 65%.
Ludogorets arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 5 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Dunav Ruse, L 0-2 @ Hapoel Tel Aviv, W 1-0 v Lokomotiv Plovdiv, W 1-0 v Teuta Durrës.
CSKA Sofia are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts), 8 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 v Botev Plovdiv, D 0-0 @ Qarabag, D 0-0 @ Slavia Sofia, W 2-1 @ Derry City.
Ludogorets hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Ludogorets 1-0 CSKA Sofia.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
