Apolonia Fier v Burreli: the model read
Apolonia Fier meet Burreli in the 1st Division regular season - 33 at Stadiumi Loni Papuciu, Fier. The model makes Burreli the most likely outcome at 34%, with the full read 31% APO, 34% draw, 34% BUR.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Burreli, 35% against 15%. Attacking output favors Apolonia Fier on expected goals, 0.7 to 0.7 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 28%, over 2.5 goals around 19%. Draw no bet leans Burreli at 53%; double chance reads Apolonia Fier or draw 66%, Burreli or draw 69%.
Apolonia Fier arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 6 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: D 4-4 v Burreli, L 1-2 @ Iliria Fushë-Krujë, L 1-2 v Besa Kavajë, D 0-0 @ Korabi Peshkopi.
Burreli are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 6 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: D 4-4 @ Apolonia Fier, W 1-0 v Lushnja, L 0-2 @ Luftëtari, L 0-1 v Skenderbeu Korce.
Burreli hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Apolonia Fier 4-4 Burreli.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
