Chongqing Tongliang Long v Dalian Zhixing

Chongqing Tongliang Long meet Dalian Zhixing in the Super League regular season - 24 at Longxing Football Stadium, Chongqing.

The baseline ratings are close, 1443 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 43% against 48%. Attacking output favors Dalian Zhixing on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.0 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 45%, over 2.5 goals around 38%. Draw no bet leans Dalian Zhixing at 50%; double chance reads Chongqing Tongliang Long or draw 66%, Dalian Zhixing or draw 66%.

Chongqing Tongliang Long arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 2 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Dalian Zhixing, D 0-0 @ Qingdao Youth Island, L 2-3 v SHANGHAI SIPG, L 0-2 @ Sichuan Jiuniu.

Dalian Zhixing are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 5 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Chongqing Tongliang Long, D 1-1 @ SHANGHAI SIPG, L 1-3 @ Yunnan Yukun, W 1-0 v Shenyang Urban.

Dalian Zhixing hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Chongqing Tongliang Long 0-1 Dalian Zhixing.

The market prices CHO at 42% implied. Our number sits apart on Dalian Zhixing: a 4.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 61 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.