Beijing Guoan v Yunnan Yukun

Beijing Guoan meet Yunnan Yukun in the Super League regular season - 24 at Beijing Workers' Stadium, Beijing.

Beijing Guoan rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1673 to 1535. Recent form leans Beijing Guoan, 75% against 55%. Attacking output favors Beijing Guoan on expected goals, 2.3 to 2.1 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 86%, over 2.5 goals around 93%. Draw no bet leans Beijing Guoan at 61%; double chance reads Beijing Guoan or draw 71%, Yunnan Yukun or draw 54%.

Beijing Guoan arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 16 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 3-3 v Yunnan Yukun, W 3-0 @ Shanghai Shenhua, W 4-2 @ Tianjin Teda, W 4-0 v Sichuan Jiuniu.

Yunnan Yukun are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 13 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: D 3-3 @ Beijing Guoan, W 3-1 v Dalian Zhixing, W 1-0 v Chengdu Better City, L 2-3 @ Tianjin Teda.

Beijing Guoan hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 with 2 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Beijing Guoan 3-3 Yunnan Yukun.

The market prices BEI at 64% implied. Our number sits apart on Yunnan Yukun: a 11.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.