Municipal Liberia v Deportivo Saprissa: the model read
Municipal Liberia meet Deportivo Saprissa in the Copa Costa Rica semi-finals at Estadio Edgardo Baltodano Briceno, Liberia. The model makes Deportivo Saprissa the most likely outcome at 43%, with the full read 28% MUN, 29% draw, 43% DEP.
The baseline ratings are close, 1604 to 1638, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 63% against 68%. Attacking output favors Deportivo Saprissa on expected goals, 2.2 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 54%, over 2.5 goals around 57%. Draw no bet leans Deportivo Saprissa at 61%; double chance reads Municipal Liberia or draw 57%, Deportivo Saprissa or draw 72%.
Municipal Liberia arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 5 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Deportivo Saprissa, D 1-1 v Deportivo Saprissa, W 2-1 v LD Alajuelense, W 1-0 @ Sporting San Jose.
Deportivo Saprissa are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 9 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 5-1 v Perez Zeledon, L 0-1 @ CS Herediano, L 0-2 @ CS Herediano, W 2-1 v CS Herediano.
Deportivo Saprissa hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 1 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Deportivo Saprissa 2-0 Municipal Liberia.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
