Where the market is wrong on Oakleigh Cannons v Dandenong City
Oakleigh Cannons meet Dandenong City in the Victoria NPL regular season - 26 at Jack Edwards Reserve, Melbourne.
Oakleigh Cannons rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1696 to 1546. Recent form leans Oakleigh Cannons, 78% against 55%. Attacking output favors Oakleigh Cannons on expected goals, 2.2 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 44%, over 2.5 goals around 50%. Draw no bet leans Oakleigh Cannons at 64%; double chance reads Oakleigh Cannons or draw 75%, Dandenong City or draw 55%.
Oakleigh Cannons arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 12 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 v Dandenong City, W 5-0 @ Dandenong Thunder, W 4-1 v Green Gully, D 0-0 @ Bentleigh Greens.
Dandenong City are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts), 8 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 @ Oakleigh Cannons, D 0-0 v Preston Lions, W 2-0 v Altona Magic, W 3-0 @ Dandenong Thunder.
Oakleigh Cannons hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Oakleigh Cannons 2-3 Dandenong City.
The market prices OAK at 63% implied. Our number sits apart on Dandenong City: a 9.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
