Where the market is wrong on Levadia U19 v Legion
Levadia U19 meet Legion in the Esiliiga B regular season - 25.
Levadia U19 rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1661 to 1400. Recent form leans Levadia U19, 70% against 21%. Attacking output favors Levadia U19 on expected goals, 2.8 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 68%, over 2.5 goals around 89%. Draw no bet leans Levadia U19 at 72%; double chance reads Levadia U19 or draw 79%, Legion or draw 45%.
Levadia U19 arrive surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 12 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Legion, W 1-0 v Narva U21, W 4-1 @ Tulevik, W 3-0 v JK Tabasalu.
Legion are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 5 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Levadia U19, D 3-3 @ Tallinna Kalev II, L 1-3 v Narva U21, L 0-1 v Johvi Phoenix.
The market prices LEV at 81% implied. Our number sits apart on Legion: a 14.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
