Ulsan Citizen v Gyeongju HNP

Ulsan Citizen meet Gyeongju HNP in the K3 League regular season - 21 at Ulsan Complex Stadium, Ulsan.

The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 50%. Attacking output favors Gyeongju HNP on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.

Ulsan Citizen arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 5 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Gyeongju HNP, W 2-1 v Busan Transportation, W 1-0 @ Jeonbuk Motors II, L 0-1 v Gwangju FC.

Gyeongju HNP are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 7 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Ulsan Citizen, D 3-3 @ Yangpyeong, W 1-0 v Siheung Citizen, L 0-4 @ Cheongju.

Gyeongju HNP hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Ulsan Citizen 1-2 Gyeongju HNP.

The market prices ULS at 25% implied. Our number sits apart on Ulsan Citizen: a 8.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.