Where the market is wrong on Universidad Catolica v Aucas
Universidad Catolica meet Aucas in the Liga Pro regular season - 28.
The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1569, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 57%. Attacking output favors Universidad Catolica on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.2 per match.
Universidad Catolica arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 10 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Aucas, D 2-2 @ Independiente del Valle, W 5-1 v Manta FC, D 1-1 @ Macara.
Aucas are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 3 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Universidad Catolica, W 1-0 v Libertad, L 0-1 @ LDU de Quito, W 1-0 @ Delfin SC.
Aucas hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Universidad Catolica 1-1 Aucas.
The market prices UNI at 49% implied. Our number sits apart on Aucas: a 10.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
