Mushuc Runa SC v Delfin SC

Mushuc Runa SC meet Delfin SC in the Liga Pro regular season - 27 at Estadio COAC Mushuc Runa, Ambato.

The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1407, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Mushuc Runa SC, 48% against 34%. Attacking output favors Mushuc Runa SC on expected goals, 1.2 to 0.8 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 36%, over 2.5 goals around 30%. Draw no bet leans Mushuc Runa SC at 56%; double chance reads Mushuc Runa SC or draw 70%, Delfin SC or draw 63%.

Mushuc Runa SC arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts), 6 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Delfin SC, D 0-0 @ Deportivo Cuenca, D 0-0 v Barcelona SC, W 3-0 @ Tecnico Universitario.

Delfin SC are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Mushuc Runa SC, L 0-1 v Aucas, W 1-0 @ Cde Juventud Italiana, L 2-3 @ Independiente del Valle.

Delfin SC hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 4 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Mushuc Runa SC 1-0 Delfin SC.

The market prices MUS at 59% implied. Our number sits apart on Delfin SC: a 13.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.