Where the market is wrong on Guayaquil City FC v LDU de Quito
Guayaquil City FC meet LDU de Quito in the Liga Pro regular season - 27 at Estadio Christian Benitez Betancourt, Guayaquil.
The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 55%. Attacking output favors Guayaquil City FC on expected goals, 1.1 to 1.1 per match.
Guayaquil City FC arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v LDU de Quito, W 3-2 @ Tecnico Universitario, D 2-2 v Libertad, D 0-0 v Emelec.
LDU de Quito are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 4 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Mushuc Runa SC, L 1-2 @ Guayaquil City FC, W 1-0 v Aucas, W 2-0 v Emelec.
LDU de Quito hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 1 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Guayaquil City FC 2-1 LDU de Quito.
The market prices GUA at 27% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 5.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
