Where the market is wrong on Sutherland Sharks v SD Raiders
Sutherland Sharks meet SD Raiders in the New South Wales NPL regular season - 30 at Seymour Shaw Park, undefined.
The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 57% against 55%. Attacking output favors Sutherland Sharks on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.4 per match.
Sutherland Sharks arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Manly United, L 1-2 v SD Raiders, W 2-1 v St George City FA, L 0-1 @ Marconi Stallions.
SD Raiders are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 4 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Sutherland Sharks, L 0-1 @ NWS Spirit, L 0-1 v Sydney, L 1-3 @ APIA Leichhardt Tigers.
The market prices SUT at 28% implied. Our number sits apart on Sutherland Sharks: a 7.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 70 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output