Where the market is wrong on Sydney United v St. George Saints
Sydney United meet St. George Saints in the New South Wales NPL regular season - 30 at Sydney United Sports Centre, Sydney.
Sydney United rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1592 to 1400. Recent form leans Sydney United, 63% against 20%. Attacking output favors Sydney United on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.8 per match.
Sydney United arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts), 11 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 6-0 v St. George Saints, D 0-0 v APIA Leichhardt Tigers, W 2-1 @ Sydney Olympic, D 1-1 @ APIA Leichhardt Tigers.
St. George Saints are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 5 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-6 @ Sydney United, W 1-0 v Blacktown City, W 2-1 @ Western Sydney Wanderers U23, D 0-0 v APIA Leichhardt Tigers.
The market prices SYD at 77% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 12.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
