Where the market is wrong on Sutherland Sharks v St George City FA
Sutherland Sharks meet St George City FA in the New South Wales NPL regular season - 29 at Seymour Shaw Park, undefined.
The baseline ratings are close, 1581 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Sutherland Sharks, 60% against 50%. Attacking output favors Sutherland Sharks on expected goals, 1.6 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 45%, over 2.5 goals around 44%. Draw no bet leans Sutherland Sharks at 60%; double chance reads Sutherland Sharks or draw 72%, St George City FA or draw 59%.
Sutherland Sharks arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 8 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v St George City FA, L 0-1 @ Marconi Stallions, D 1-1 v Sydney FC U23, W 2-1 v Wollongong Wolves.
St George City FA are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 6 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Sutherland Sharks, W 2-0 @ Sydney FC U23, W 1-0 v Rockdale City Suns, W 1-0 @ Marconi Stallions.
St George City FA hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Sutherland Sharks 2-1 St George City FA.
The market prices SUT at 39% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 58 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
