Where the market is wrong on Los Angeles FC II v Ventura County
Los Angeles FC II meet Ventura County in the MLS Next Pro group stage at Titan Stadium, undefined.
The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1615, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 57% against 65%. Attacking output favors Ventura County on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.6 per match.
Los Angeles FC II arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 9 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ The Town, L 1-4 @ Vancouver Whitecaps II, W 2-1 v Sporting KC II, W 4-3 v Tacoma Defiance.
Ventura County are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts), 16 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 @ Colorado Rapids II, D 2-2 v Portland Timbers II, W 2-0 @ Houston Dynamo FC II, W 6-1 v North Texas.
Los Angeles FC II hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Ventura County 2-0 Los Angeles FC II.
The market prices LOS at 42% implied. Our number sits apart on Ventura County: a 10.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 78 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
