Where the market is wrong on Houston Dynamo FC II v The Town
Houston Dynamo FC II meet The Town in the MLS Next Pro group stage at SaberCats Stadium, undefined.
The baseline ratings are close, 1592 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Houston Dynamo FC II, 63% against 48%. Attacking output favors Houston Dynamo FC II on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 66%, over 2.5 goals around 66%. Draw no bet leans Houston Dynamo FC II at 54%; double chance reads Houston Dynamo FC II or draw 67%, The Town or draw 62%.
Houston Dynamo FC II arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 8 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ St. Louis City II, D 1-1 v The Town, L 0-2 v Ventura County, W 3-0 v Real Monarchs.
The Town are patchy: 0W-3D-2L from their last five (3/15 pts), 3 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Austin II, D 1-1 @ Houston Dynamo FC II, L 0-2 v St. Louis City II, D 1-1 @ Minnesota United II.
The market prices HOU at 46% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output