Ventura County v North Texas: the model read
Ventura County meet North Texas in the MLS Next Pro group stage at Dignity Health Sports Park, undefined. The model makes Ventura County the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 40% VEN, 29% draw, 31% NOR.
The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Ventura County, 57% against 45%. Attacking output favors Ventura County on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 66%, over 2.5 goals around 67%. Draw no bet leans Ventura County at 57%; double chance reads Ventura County or draw 69%, North Texas or draw 60%.
Ventura County arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 11 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v The Town, W 2-0 v Los Angeles FC II, L 2-3 @ Vancouver Whitecaps II, W 3-1 v Real Monarchs.
North Texas are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 7 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Los Angeles FC II, W 1-0 @ The Town, L 0-1 @ Colorado Rapids II, W 3-0 v St. Louis City II.
North Texas hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: North Texas 1-1 Ventura County.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
