New York RB II v Crown Legacy

New York RB II meet Crown Legacy in the MLS Next Pro group stage at MSU Soccer Park, undefined. The model makes Crown Legacy the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 32% NEW, 27% draw, 41% CRO.

The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1638, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Crown Legacy, 70% against 57%. Attacking output favors Crown Legacy on expected goals, 2.4 to 2.1 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 86%, over 2.5 goals around 90%. Draw no bet leans Crown Legacy at 56%; double chance reads New York RB II or draw 59%, Crown Legacy or draw 68%.

New York RB II arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 13 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Connecticut FC, L 0-3 @ Chicago Fire II, D 2-2 @ FC Cincinnati II, W 5-0 v Philadelphia Union II.

Crown Legacy are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 7 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 v Chicago Fire II, L 0-3 v New York City II, D 1-1 v Orlando City II, D 3-3 @ Atlanta United II.

Crown Legacy hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Crown Legacy 2-5 New York RB II.

The market prices NEW at 45% implied. Our number sits apart on Crown Legacy: a 9.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 76 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.