Österlen v Karlshamn

Österlen meet Karlshamn in the Division 2 - Södra Götaland södra götaland - 20.

The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Österlen, 50% against 20%. Attacking output favors Österlen on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.1 per match.

Österlen arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 11 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 6-0 v Karlshamn, L 0-3 @ Växjö Norra, D 1-1 @ Räppe, L 0-3 v Oskarshamns AIK.

Karlshamn are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 5 scored and 19 conceded. Recent results: L 0-6 @ Österlen, W 3-1 v Nosaby, L 1-2 @ Sölvesborg, L 1-5 v IFK Trelleborg.

Österlen hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 1 across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Österlen 6-0 Karlshamn.

The market prices ÖST at 58% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.