Where the market is wrong on Jeonnam Dragons v Gyeongnam FC
Jeonnam Dragons meet Gyeongnam FC in the K League 2 regular season - 19 at Gwangyang Football Stadium, Gwangyang. The model makes Gyeongnam FC the most likely outcome at 43%, with the full read 28% JEO, 29% draw, 43% GYE.
Gyeongnam FC rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1523 to 1400. Recent form leans Gyeongnam FC, 53% against 30%. Attacking output favors Gyeongnam FC on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 58%, over 2.5 goals around 61%. Draw no bet leans Gyeongnam FC at 60%; double chance reads Jeonnam Dragons or draw 57%, Gyeongnam FC or draw 72%.
Jeonnam Dragons arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 9 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Asan Mugunghwa, L 3-4 v Asan Mugunghwa, L 0-5 @ Suwon City FC, D 3-3 v Busan I Park.
Gyeongnam FC are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 10 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 5-0 v Ansan Greeners, L 0-1 v Yeoju Sejong, D 1-1 @ Asan Mugunghwa, W 2-1 v Cheonan City.
Jeonnam Dragons hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Gyeongnam FC 1-4 Jeonnam Dragons.
The market prices JEO at 37% implied. Our number sits apart on Gyeongnam FC: a 7.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 71 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
