Where the market is wrong on FC Iberia 1999 v Dinamo Tbilisi
FC Iberia 1999 meet Dinamo Tbilisi in the Erovnuli Liga regular season - 22 at Mikheil Meskhi Stadium, Tbilisi.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1581, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Dinamo Tbilisi, 60% against 48%. Attacking output favors Dinamo Tbilisi on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.3 per match.
FC Iberia 1999 arrive out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 4 scored and 14 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Samtredia, L 0-2 @ Gagra, L 1-2 v Jagiellonia, L 0-4 @ Jagiellonia.
Dinamo Tbilisi are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 6 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Dila, L 0-3 v Rustavi, W 2-1 @ Spaeri, L 2-7 @ FK Zalgiris Vilnius.
FC Iberia 1999 hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 3 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: FC Iberia 1999 1-0 Dinamo Tbilisi.
The market prices FC at 40% implied. Our number sits apart on Dinamo Tbilisi: a 10.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 78 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
