Utah Royals W v North Carolina Courage W

Utah Royals W meet North Carolina Courage W in the NWSL Women group stage at Rio Tinto Stadium, Sandy.

The baseline ratings are close, 1592 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 60% against 53%. Attacking output favors North Carolina Courage W on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.8 per match.

Utah Royals W arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 6 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Angel City W, W 1-0 @ Houston Dash W, L 1-2 v Boston Legacy W, W 2-1 @ Orlando Pride W.

North Carolina Courage W are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 12 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v NJ/NY Gotham FC W, L 1-2 @ San Diego Wave W, W 6-0 @ Chicago Red Stars W, L 2-3 @ Kansas City W.

North Carolina Courage W hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Utah Royals W 2-1 North Carolina Courage W.

The market prices UTA at 45% implied. Our number sits apart on North Carolina Courage W: a 5.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.