Where the market is wrong on FC Seoul v Incheon United
FC Seoul meet Incheon United in the K League 1 regular season - 27 at Seoul World Cup Stadium, Seoul.
FC Seoul rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1650 to 1500. Recent form leans FC Seoul, 70% against 50%. Attacking output favors FC Seoul on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.1 per match.
FC Seoul arrive surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 18 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Incheon United, W 5-2 @ Gwangju FC, W 1-0 v Bucheon FC 1995, W 7-0 @ FC Anyang.
Incheon United are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ FC Seoul, D 1-1 v Jeonbuk Motors, L 1-2 @ FC Anyang, W 1-0 @ Gwangju FC.
FC Seoul hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: FC Seoul 1-0 Incheon United.
The market prices FC at 54% implied. Our number sits apart on Incheon United: a 7.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
