Where the market is wrong on B68 v Skála
B68 meet Skála in the Meistaradeildin regular season - 20 at Svangaskard, Toftir.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1420, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Skála, 38% against 28%. Attacking output favors B68 on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 55%, over 2.5 goals around 51%. Draw no bet leans Skála at 51%; double chance reads B68 or draw 65%, Skála or draw 66%.
B68 arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 3 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Skála, L 0-2 @ HB Torshavn, L 1-2 @ Vikingur Gota, W 2-1 v 07 Vestur.
Skála are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 6 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ B68, W 2-1 v Vikingur Gota, L 0-4 @ NSI Runavik, L 2-3 @ AB.
Skála hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: B68 0-1 Skála.
The market prices B68 at 35% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
