Where the market is wrong on Palestino v Universidad de Concepcion
Palestino meet Universidad de Concepcion in the Primera División regular season - 22 at Estadio Municipal de La Cisterna, Santiago de Chile.
Palestino rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1569 to 1400. Recent form leans Palestino, 57% against 25%. Attacking output favors Palestino on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.0 per match.
Palestino arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 9 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Cobresal, W 1-0 @ O'Higgins, W 5-1 v Huachipato, L 1-2 @ Universidad de Chile.
Universidad de Concepcion are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 4 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Universidad de Chile, L 1-3 @ Everton de Vina, L 0-2 v D. La Serena, L 0-1 @ Concepción.
The market prices PAL at 58% implied. Our number sits apart on Universidad de Concepcion: a 6.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
