Where the market is wrong on PK-35 v JäPS
PK-35 meet JäPS in the Ykkösliiga group stage at Markku.fi Areena, Helsinki.
The baseline ratings are close, 1650 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans PK-35, 70% against 50%. Attacking output favors PK-35 on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 47%, over 2.5 goals around 55%. Draw no bet leans PK-35 at 65%; double chance reads PK-35 or draw 75%, JäPS or draw 54%.
PK-35 arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 9 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v JäPS, D 1-1 v Klubi-04, W 3-0 @ SJK Akatemia, L 1-4 v Haka.
JäPS are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ PK-35, L 1-2 v Haka, W 1-0 v MP, L 0-1 @ JIPPO.
PK-35 hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: PK-35 3-0 JäPS.
The market prices PK- at 54% implied. Our number sits apart on JäPS: a 4.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
