Where the market is wrong on Claypole v Yupanqui
Claypole meet Yupanqui in the Primera C regular season - 29.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1408, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 33% against 38%. Attacking output favors Yupanqui on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.8 per match.
Claypole arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 7 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Central Cordoba, W 2-1 v Yupanqui, W 2-0 v Sacachispas, L 0-1 v Central Ballester.
Yupanqui are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 2 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v General Lamadrid, L 1-2 @ Claypole, D 1-1 @ Estrella Del Sur, L 0-1 v Leones de Rosario.
The market prices CLA at 48% implied. Our number sits apart on Yupanqui: a 17.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 82 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
