Where the market is wrong on Deportivo Español v Sacachispas
Deportivo Español meet Sacachispas in the Primera C regular season - 24.
The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1535, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 60% against 55%. Attacking output favors Sacachispas on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 11%, over 2.5 goals around 5%. Draw no bet leans Deportivo Español at 51%; double chance reads Deportivo Español or draw 71%, Sacachispas or draw 69%.
Deportivo Español arrive in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 2 scored and 0 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Sacachispas, D 0-0 @ General Lamadrid, D 0-0 v Leones de Rosario, W 1-0 @ Atletico Atlas.
Sacachispas are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 4 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Mercedes, D 0-0 @ Deportivo Español, W 2-0 v Deportivo Paraguayo, W 2-0 @ Atletico Atlas.
Deportivo Español hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Deportivo Español 0-0 Sacachispas.
The market prices DEP at 32% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 63 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
