Estrella Del Sur v Deportivo Paraguayo

Estrella Del Sur meet Deportivo Paraguayo in the Primera C regular season - 21. The model makes Estrella Del Sur the most likely outcome at 43%, with the full read 43% EST, 35% draw, 22% DEP.

Estrella Del Sur rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1546 to 1400. Recent form leans Estrella Del Sur, 57% against 33%. Attacking output favors Estrella Del Sur on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.5 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 17%, over 2.5 goals around 17%. Draw no bet leans Estrella Del Sur at 66%; double chance reads Estrella Del Sur or draw 78%, Deportivo Paraguayo or draw 57%.

Estrella Del Sur arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 7 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Deportivo Paraguayo, L 0-1 @ Puerto Nuevo, W 3-0 v Leandro N. Alem, W 3-0 @ Defensores de Cambaceres.

Deportivo Paraguayo are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 0 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Estrella Del Sur, L 0-1 v Berazategui, D 0-0 @ Victoriano Arenas, L 0-2 v Centro Español.

Estrella Del Sur hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 0 across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Estrella Del Sur 1-0 Deportivo Paraguayo.

The market prices EST at 58% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 7.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.