Chacarita Juniors v San Martin Tucuman

Chacarita Juniors meet San Martin Tucuman in the Primera Nacional regular season - 26 at Estadio de Chacarita Juniors, Buenos Aires.

The baseline ratings are close, 1443 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 40% against 48%. Attacking output favors San Martin Tucuman on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.7 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 17%, over 2.5 goals around 9%. Draw no bet leans San Martin Tucuman at 54%; double chance reads Chacarita Juniors or draw 66%, San Martin Tucuman or draw 71%.

Chacarita Juniors arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 1 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Gimnasia Y Tiro, L 1-2 v San Martin Tucuman, D 0-0 v Club Atlético Güemes, L 0-2 @ CA Estudiantes.

San Martin Tucuman are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 7 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Chacarita Juniors, D 2-2 v Deportivo Madryn, D 1-1 v San Martin S.J., L 1-2 @ Nueva Chicago.

Chacarita Juniors hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Chacarita Juniors 1-2 San Martin Tucuman.

The market prices CHA at 35% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 59 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.