Where the market is wrong on Helsingborg v Norrby IF
Helsingborg meet Norrby IF in the Superettan regular season - 25 at Olympia, Helsingborg.
The baseline ratings are close, 1443 to 1431, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 40% against 40%. Attacking output favors Helsingborg on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.
Helsingborg arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 3 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Norrby IF, L 0-1 @ Ostersunds FK, W 2-1 @ Landskrona BoIS, L 0-2 v Sandviken.
Norrby IF are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 3 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Helsingborg, L 1-2 v Varbergs BoIS FC, L 1-2 @ Ljungskile SK, L 1-3 v Landskrona BoIS.
Helsingborg hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Helsingborg 0-0 Norrby IF.
The market prices HEL at 44% implied. Our number sits apart on Norrby IF: a 5.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 65 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
